Altcoin Market- Key Indicators for an Imminent Altcoin Rally
Altcoin Market– The altcoin market has been on a downward trend since the 2024 bull run stumbled in March. However, several key indicators suggest that a recent recovery may signal a massive move is imminent, according to crypto analysts.
Technical Strength in the Altcoin Market
From a technical standpoint, the altcoin market appears robust, maintaining its position above an ascending trendline that has supported the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies except Bitcoin (BTC) since the 2017 bull cycle. Independent crypto analyst Mags stated on October 26, The altcoin market cap is currently testing a long-term trendline support that has held strong for the past eight years. A successful retest of this multi-year support line could indicate that the downtrend is easing, with potential for increased buying to elevate altcoin prices. Mags added, With BTC also breaking out, the market looks ready for a massive move. As of the latest updates, Bitcoin was contending with resistance around its 2021 all-time high of approximately $69,000.
If Bitcoin manages to close decisively above this level while TOTAL2—the cumulative market cap excluding Bitcoin—remains above its long-term trendline support, it could suggest that the market is poised for a significant upward movement. Analyst Moustache highlighted the importance of monitoring for a breakout from a broadening wedge formation, saying, I think within the next 1-2 weeks TOTAL2 will see the inevitable breakout of the 7.5-month descending broadening wedge. He noted that the recent 11% decline in TOTAL2, from $981 billion to $873 billion, might be a temporary deviation as prices seek to reclaim the trendline support established since September 26.
Bitcoin Dominance and Altcoin Season
Bitcoin dominance—a measure of Bitcoin’s market share relative to the overall crypto market—serves as a key indicator of whether an altcoin season has begun. This metric has been on the rise since early 2023, peaking at a three-and-a-half-year high of 59.75 on October 25. As of now, Bitcoin dominance is at 59.56%, indicating that it is still Bitcoin season. Popular crypto YouTuber Crypto Banter suggests that a parabolic altseason phase typically occurs when Bitcoin dominance significantly declines.
However, pseudonymous analyst Yoddha argued that Bitcoin dominance may be squeezing within an ascending wedge, hinting at an imminent altcoin rally. Fellow analyst Crypto Rover echoed this sentiment in an October 28 post, claiming, Bitcoin dominance is about to crash so hard, and adding that altseason is close. Currently, Bitcoin’s dominance suggests that altcoins are still lagging behind. According to Blockchain Center data, only 29% of the top 50 altcoins have outperformed Bitcoin in the last three months, well below the 75% threshold needed to confirm an official altszn. As Bitcoin approaches new highs, market participants should keep a close eye on TOTAL2’s potential breakout, which could reduce Bitcoin dominance and trigger an altcoin season in the upcoming months.
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